So Penguins fans, how are you feeling these days? This last week or so, it’s been a little crazy, no? Do you feel like I do, and have a sense of relief this morning that the Penguins didn’t allow Jim Rutherford to trade for Phil Kessel…yet? You should. Rutherford says all the right things on camera, about wanting to be patient, but from all accounts this weekend, he was pretty ravenous about wanting to get another top six forward, and from most accounts, Phil Kessel was his guy.
I can’t say I’m a fan of Phil Kessel. I remember before he was drafted a story that came out that he had an altercation with Sidney Crosby while they were still in Juniors. He’s had a toxic relationship with the media everywhere he’s gone. The knocks on him are consistent; he’s angry, he’s rude, he’s anti-social, he consistently puts himself before his team, and he can act like a petulant child – there are others, but that’s just the things off the top of my head that have been said about him.
Now, as a fan, I can live with some of that. I’d be calling the kettle black if I said that I wasn’t a little angry, or anti-social from time to time, but I always try to handle people with respect if only because of how it reflects upon me. Be professional. Take your lumps when you earn them, but celebrate your successes when they come too. Now, admittedly, part of Kessel’s problem has been where he’s played. Canada is ground zero if you’re a hockey player. Players born in Canada want to play there; it’s a dream to most of them. For Toronto, where Kessel has almost spent his last six years, it’s the life blood of the city. As in any career, if you’re not in love with what you do, it can wear on you.
By all accounts, Phil Kessel was enamored to be a Maple Leaf in September of 2009. Toronto is a hockey mecca, and if you view yourself highly enough, it can be a place you can ascend to god-hood amongst the fans. The problem seems to be that Kessel overestimated his worth to those fans. The world, after all, has become “what have you done for me lately?” Kessel was expected to shoulder the load of not so good Toronto teams, and when he couldn’t, animosity began to build.
The Penguins are a team that’s standing on a bloody edge. The “window” in which to win another Stanley Cup with Evgeni Malkin and Sidney Crosby as part of its core seems to be closing. It shouldn’t be, but because of handing out poor contracts to players who shouldn’t have gotten them, the Penguins have made a royal mess of things. The Penguins are an aging team, they no longer have good depth, and they’re trapped in salary cap hell, in large part, because of former General Manager Ray Shero, handed out those contracts and who traded away younger players for Band-Aid fixes in previous attempts to get another Stanley Cup.
Which brings us to this point: the Penguins have two ways they can handle this. They can go all in and trade away the last remnants of any future to build on, and get a player like Kessel who’s got seven more years on his contract with a cap hit of 8 million per season until the end of the 2021-2022 season. They can continue to be a top heavy team that pays almost 35% of its salary cap to a handful of players (that percentage will increase w/ Kessel), who every year has to find players willing to play at rock bottom prices to fill out a roster to win them another Stanley Cup. Or they can choose to quietly step back for a season or two, and retool.
I personally am a fan of taking a year or two and stepping back from the team being “all in” although I’m not sure many fans would agree with me. If Crosby and Malkin do love it here, I’m sure you can convince them that by shedding bad contracts and getting in good pieces for another serious run in 2 years is more beneficial to going full tilt now with a high probability of failure, not just for now but for years to come if the Penguins continue on this path.
I talked to a friend at the middle of last month about the 2 year thing, but Mark Madden recently wrote an article about it here (http://www.1059thex.com/onair/mark-madden-25939/twoyear-plan-13704176/) and since I can’t prove my conversation, I’ll gladly give Mark the credit, because he’s right, and I agree with him.
Think about it from this perspective; the Penguins are rumored to add Sergei Plotnikov and perhaps Viktor Tikhonov, both from the KHL. Plotnikov must sign an entry-level contract, which means he’ll be playing for around 1 million next season, for 1 season. Tikhonov, who’s played in the KHL for a few years, is still property of the Arizona Coyotes until July 1, and although his NHL career never amounted to much (until now, potentially) he’s going to probably earn north of 2 million if he signs. Tikhonov has improved his game in the KHL from where it was in his previous NHL stint. Both have played as linemates to Alexander Ovechkin at various points over the last few seasons in international competition. Those are the guys the Penguins need to be grabbing for now.
I liken Tikhonov to a cross between Malkin friend and current NY Islander Nikolai Kulemin, and former Malkin winger Ruslan Fedotenko. He’s a defensively responsible forward, capable of back-checking, and can likely be expected to put up between 10-15 goals and 20-25 assists, and that’s with me predicting him not to play with Malkin – it’s possible, even likely, Tikhonov exceeds that, especially if he plays with Malkin. So that’s 40 points. The year the Penguins won the Stanley Cup, Malkin’s wingers were Fedotenko and Petr Sykora. Sykora had 46 points, and Fedotenko had 39 and, oh yeah, Malkin won the MVP.
I know less about Plotnikov, except that he’s got a pretty awesome YouTube highlight reel, and that he seems to be a poor man’s Chris Kunitz, only with a little more intensity but also a gear or two slower. I’ll take that every day and twice on Sunday, especially at 1 million per season. These are the players that Penguins General Manager Jim Rutherford need to be going after this free agency year. They’re guys who will help your core. They buy you time to get some of your problem areas under check.
Not only that but signing guys like Plotnikov and Tikhonov can build you depth. So you don’t plan on making a serious Stanley Cup run for two years? It’s not hurting getting Plotnikov and Tikhonov a few years of NHL experience with Evgeni Malkin first. That means the talent that’s ready to make the roster in 2 years has to push guys that are established harder, and there’s nothing wrong with that scenario. Why trade Brandon Sutter for a lower tier top six forward when you can move him for a good prospect and a couple of draft picks? Planning is everything.
Plus, what happens if this team is sold within the next year? Even if Ron Burkle is the guy who buys Mario Lemieux’s shares, it’s likely that Burkle is going to want a management team completely of his choosing, which means a reduction of that ridiculous top heavy management team the Penguins employ, meaning that Rutherford and coach Mike Johnston could well be out of work at this time next year. I’d rather they leave something in the cupboard for when that happens, then going all in now, for what I feel is another futile attempt.
Consider what happens if the Penguins manage to trade both forward Chris Kunitz and defenseman Rob Scuderi to open up some cap space, and get some draft picks in return. If you’re thinking like Ray Shero did, which is that the franchise doubles as a family and thinks that way first, Kunitz and his wife reside in whatever city Chris plays, and Chicago, where his wife is from. Kunitz is likely to go to another team with a shot of winning another Stanley Cup, but you might build some good will with other NHL players if you do him a favor and move him closer to Chicago. Scuderi, on the other hand, is saddled with a modified no-trade clause. The requirement he had when he signed with the Penguins two seasons ago, was that he wanted to be closer to his New York home, so ideally, if you can move him to a team that’s within an hour flight of New York, he should be okay to do that. Good will can go a long way, not long ago, the Penguins had a lot of it, but the butchery of the firings of Dan Bylsma and Ray Shero did more harm than good in that department. From a public relations standpoint, both Kunitz and Scuderi are respected NHL players, and doing them a solid can also help your franchise out.
If the Penguins start shedding dead weight off the roster, and getting back pieces to build up the core again, it’s reasonable to think within a season or two they’d be in better shape to make another run at the Stanley Cup – with better results than what they’ve had recently. That means you have to stop trying to put Band-Aid fixes on this team, though. No more trading 1st round draft picks. No more 4 year contracts to players older than 31. No more trading two 2nd round draft picks for six weeks of Doug Murray. No more spending to the cap and because of injuries, you can only play 5 or 4 defensemen a night, damaging this team before the playoffs begin because you mismanaged said cap. And no more trading young defenseman like Simon Despres to Anaheim for Ben Lovejoy. That trade was beyond stupid, and will haunt this team for years to come. Straighten up Penguins, otherwise your window will be closed sooner than you’d like.